Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Górnik Polkowice or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Górnik Polkowice to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGórnik Polkowice to win ✗65% · @1.85
Double chanceGórnik Polkowice or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.56
Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój preview and prediction
The match
Górnik Polkowice host Goczałkowice Zdrój in the III Liga Group 3 on Friday 17 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Górnik. Górnik Polkowice are 9th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Górnik Polkowice's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Polonia Nysa 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goczałkowice Zdrój's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Miedź Legnica II 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Górnik Polkowice arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Górnik Polkowice and 0.8 for Goczałkowice Zdrój. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 47%.
Safer route: Górnik Polkowice or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Górnik Polkowice to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Górnik Polkowice or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Górnik Polkowice 2–0 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Górnik Polkowice65%fair 1.54 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Goczałkowice Zdrój15%fair 6.79 · @3.50
2.86Expected goals
2.02Górnik Polkowice xG
0.84Goczałkowice Zdrój xG
47%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 2.0 – 0.8 Goczałkowice Zdrój expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Górnik Polkowice to win✗
65%
1.54
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Górnik Polkowice or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Górnik Polkowice ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Górnik Polkowice / FT Górnik Polkowice✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.56
–
Form
Górnik Polkowice – last 6
WDDLWW
1 Apr
@ Polonia Nysa
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Miedź Legnica II
3–3
D
17 Mar
vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Sparta Katowice
0–4
L
8 Mar
@ Zagłębie Lubin II
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Starowice Dolne
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Goczałkowice Zdrój – last 5
LLWLW
11 Apr
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ Lechia Zielona Góra
0–5
L
28 Mar
vs Sparta Katowice
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Polonia Nysa
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Polkowice and Goczałkowice Zdrój.
What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our pick is Górnik Polkowice or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Goczałkowice Zdrój 15%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our predicted score is Górnik Polkowice 2–0 Goczałkowice Zdrój, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Górnik Polkowice vs Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Górnik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
