Double chanceGórnik Polkowice or draw ✗81% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice preview and prediction
The match
Górnik Polkowice host Sparta Katowice in the III Liga Group 3 on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stadion Górnik. Górnik Polkowice are 9th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Sparta Katowice sit 2nd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Górnik Polkowice's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Zagłębie Lubin II 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Górnik Polkowice and 0.9 for Sparta Katowice. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Górnik Polkowice or draw (81%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Górnik Polkowice 2–0 Sparta Katowice. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Górnik Polkowice60%fair 1.66 · @1.61
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.55
Sparta Katowice19%fair 5.26 · @4.15
2.82Expected goals
1.88Górnik Polkowice xG
0.94Sparta Katowice xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Górnik Polkowice 1.9 – 0.9 Sparta Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Górnik Polkowice to win✗
60%
1.66
1.61
Double chance
Górnik Polkowice or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.39
Half-time result
Górnik Polkowice ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Górnik Polkowice / FT Górnik Polkowice✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Górnik Polkowice – last 3
WWW
8 Mar
@ Zagłębie Lubin II
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Starowice Dolne
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Polonia Nysa
4–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sparta Katowice – last 1
D
7 Mar
vs Miedź Legnica II
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Górnik Polkowice and Sparta Katowice.
What is the prediction for Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?
On our numbers Górnik Polkowice have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sparta Katowice 19%.
How many goals will there be in Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?
Our predicted score is Górnik Polkowice 2–0 Sparta Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice?
Górnik Polkowice vs Sparta Katowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Górnik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Górnik Zabrze II1
SKRA Częstochowa2