Lechia Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Lechia Zielona Góra or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Lechia Zielona Góra to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLechia Zielona Góra to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceLechia Zielona Góra or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.41
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój preview and prediction
The match
Lechia Zielona Góra host Goczałkowice Zdrój in the III Liga Group 3 on Wednesday 1 April, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion MOSiR.
Form guide
Goczałkowice Zdrój's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Sparta Katowice 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Lechia Zielona Góra and 0.8 for Goczałkowice Zdrój. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 47%.
Safer route: Lechia Zielona Góra or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Lechia Zielona Góra to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Lechia Zielona Góra or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lechia Zielona Góra 1–0 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lechia Zielona Góra65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @3.50
Goczałkowice Zdrój16%fair 6.40 · @3.60
2.82Expected goals
1.99Lechia Zielona Góra xG
0.83Goczałkowice Zdrój xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Lechia Zielona Góra 2.0 – 0.8 Goczałkowice Zdrój expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lechia Zielona Góra to win✓
65%
1.53
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Lechia Zielona Góra or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Lechia Zielona Góra ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lechia Zielona Góra / FT Lechia Zielona Góra✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.41
–
Form
Lechia Zielona Góra – last 2
DL
29 Mar
@ Ślęza Wrocław
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ SKRA Częstochowa
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Goczałkowice Zdrój – last 3
WLW
28 Mar
vs Sparta Katowice
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Polonia Nysa
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lechia Zielona Góra and Goczałkowice Zdrój.
What is the prediction for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our pick is Lechia Zielona Góra or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lechia Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
On our numbers Lechia Zielona Góra have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Goczałkowice Zdrój 16%.
How many goals will there be in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lechia Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Our predicted score is Lechia Zielona Góra 1–0 Goczałkowice Zdrój, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lechia Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Lechia Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion MOSiR.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
