Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Stargard Szczeciński to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStargard Szczeciński to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceStargard Szczeciński or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.83
Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński preview and prediction
The match
Stargard Szczeciński travel to Boisko GZS Tłuchowia Tłuchowo in the III Liga Group 2 on Friday 22 May (16:30 WAT) to face Tłuchowia.
Form guide
Tłuchowia's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Lech Poznań II 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Stargard Szczeciński's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Noteć Czarnków 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Tłuchowia and 2.1 for Stargard Szczeciński. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 50%.
Safer route: Stargard Szczeciński or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stargard Szczeciński to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Tłuchowia 0–2 Stargard Szczeciński. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tłuchowia15%fair 6.82 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @4.00
Stargard Szczeciński62%fair 1.61 · @1.57
3.10Expected goals
0.98Tłuchowia xG
2.12Stargard Szczeciński xG
50%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Tłuchowia 1.0 – 2.1 Stargard Szczeciński expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stargard Szczeciński to win✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Double chance
Stargard Szczeciński or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Stargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
10%
9.83
–
Form
Tłuchowia – last 6
WLDLLW
13 May
vs Lech Poznań II
3–1
W
8 May
@ Polonia Środa
1–3
L
1 May
vs Pogoń Szczecin II
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Victoria Września
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Lipno Stęszew
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
DDWDDL
17 May
vs Noteć Czarnków
1–1
D
13 May
@ Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
0–0
D
8 May
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
3–0
W
1 May
@ Unia Swarzędz
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tłuchowia and Stargard Szczeciński.
What is the prediction for Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our pick is Stargard Szczeciński to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński?
On our numbers Tłuchowia have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stargard Szczeciński 62%.
How many goals will there be in Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Our predicted score is Tłuchowia 0–2 Stargard Szczeciński, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński?
Tłuchowia vs Stargard Szczeciński (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 22 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Boisko GZS Tłuchowia Tłuchowo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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