Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Victoria Września to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVictoria Września to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.51
Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 2 sees Victoria Września take on Lipno Stęszew on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski. Victoria Września are 17th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Lipno Stęszew sit 16th on 14 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Victoria Września's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Unia Swarzędz 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lipno Stęszew's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Luzino 0–5 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Victoria Września arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Victoria Września and 1.0 for Lipno Stęszew. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Victoria Września 62%, draw 13%, Lipno Stęszew 24%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Victoria Września to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Victoria Września 1–0 Lipno Stęszew. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Victoria Września62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
Draw13%fair 7.42 · @4.00
Lipno Stęszew24%fair 4.11 · @3.60
2.88Expected goals
1.88Victoria Września xG
1.01Lipno Stęszew xG
48%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Victoria Września 1.9 – 1.0 Lipno Stęszew expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Victoria Września to win✗
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Victoria Września ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Victoria Września / FT Victoria Września✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.51
–
Form
Victoria Września – last 6
LWWWDW
13 May
@ Unia Swarzędz
1–2
L
1 May
vs Elana Toruń
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Tłuchowia
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Noteć Czarnków
0–0
D
1 Apr
@ Cartusia Kartuzy
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lipno Stęszew – last 6
LWWDLL
17 May
vs Luzino
0–5
L
13 May
@ Kluczevia Stargard
3–0
W
1 May
vs Noteć Czarnków
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Polonia Środa
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Tłuchowia
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Stargard Szczeciński
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Victoria Września and Lipno Stęszew.
What is the prediction for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our pick is Victoria Września to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
On our numbers Victoria Września have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Lipno Stęszew 24%.
How many goals will there be in Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Our predicted score is Victoria Września 1–0 Lipno Stęszew, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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