Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Stargard Szczeciński to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStargard Szczeciński to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków preview and prediction
The match
Stargard Szczeciński host Noteć Czarnków in the III Liga Group 2 on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion Miejski. Stargard Szczeciński are 6th with 24 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Noteć Czarnków sit 9th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Stargard Szczeciński's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Noteć Czarnków's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Polonia Środa 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Noteć Czarnków arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Stargard Szczeciński and 1.0 for Noteć Czarnków. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Stargard Szczeciński to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stargard Szczeciński 2–1 Noteć Czarnków. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stargard Szczeciński62%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw14%fair 7.04 · @3.70
Noteć Czarnków23%fair 4.27 · @3.50
2.99Expected goals
1.95Stargard Szczeciński xG
1.04Noteć Czarnków xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Stargard Szczeciński 1.9 – 1.0 Noteć Czarnków expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stargard Szczeciński to win✗
62%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Stargard Szczeciński ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stargard Szczeciński / FT Stargard Szczeciński✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Stargard Szczeciński – last 6
DWDDLL
13 May
@ Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
0–0
D
8 May
vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal
3–0
W
1 May
@ Unia Swarzędz
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Pogoń Szczecin II
0–3
L
17 Mar
@ Elana Toruń
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Noteć Czarnków – last 6
WLLWDW
13 May
vs Polonia Środa
2–0
W
8 May
vs Unia Swarzędz
0–1
L
1 May
@ Lipno Stęszew
0–1
L
15 Apr
vs Lech Poznań II
2–1
W
4 Apr
@ Victoria Września
0–0
D
25 Mar
@ Flota Świnoujście
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stargard Szczeciński and Noteć Czarnków.
What is the prediction for Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our pick is Stargard Szczeciński to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
On our numbers Stargard Szczeciński have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Noteć Czarnków 23%.
How many goals will there be in Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
Our predicted score is Stargard Szczeciński 2–1 Noteć Czarnków, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków?
Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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