Polonia Środa host Tłuchowia in the III Liga Group 2 on Friday 8 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej.
Form guide
Polonia Środa's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Wda Świecie 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Tłuchowia's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Pogoń Szczecin II 3–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Polonia Środa and 0.8 for Tłuchowia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Polonia Środa to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Polonia Środa 2–0 Tłuchowia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Polonia Środa68%fair 1.47 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @5.00
Tłuchowia11%fair 9.27 · @6.50
3.00Expected goals
2.20Polonia Środa xG
0.80Tłuchowia xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Polonia Środa 2.2 – 0.8 Tłuchowia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Polonia Środa to win✓
68%
1.47
1.30
Double chance
Polonia Środa or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Polonia Środa ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Polonia Środa / FT Polonia Środa✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.27
–
Form
Polonia Środa – last 6
LLDWDL
1 May
@ Wda Świecie
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs Unia Swarzędz
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Lipno Stęszew
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Flota Świnoujście
6–2
W
21 Mar
@ Lech Poznań II
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Luzino
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tłuchowia – last 5
DLLWL
1 May
vs Pogoń Szczecin II
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Victoria Września
0–2
L
1 Apr
vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Lipno Stęszew
3–1
W
28 Feb
@ Flota Świnoujście
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Środa and Tłuchowia.
What is the prediction for Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia?
Our pick is Polonia Środa to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia?
On our numbers Polonia Środa have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tłuchowia 11%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia?
Our predicted score is Polonia Środa 2–0 Tłuchowia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia?
Polonia Środa vs Tłuchowia (III Liga Group 2) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion 700-lecia Środy Wielkopolskiej.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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