Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJagiellonia II to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.74
Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 1 sees Bełchatów take on Jagiellonia II on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion GKS-u.
Form guide
Bełchatów's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Widzew II 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Jagiellonia II's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Troszyn 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Jagiellonia II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Bełchatów and 1.6 for Jagiellonia II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bełchatów 38%, draw 21%, Jagiellonia II 41%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Bełchatów 1–2 Jagiellonia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bełchatów38%fair 2.62 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.60
Jagiellonia II41%fair 2.47 · @2.20
3.15Expected goals
1.55Bełchatów xG
1.60Jagiellonia II xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Bełchatów 1.5 – 1.6 Jagiellonia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia II to win✓
41%
2.47
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia II / FT Jagiellonia II✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.74
–
Form
Bełchatów – last 4
LWLL
13 May
vs Widzew II
1–3
L
8 May
@ Wikielec
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Wasilków
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Legia Warszawa II
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia II – last 6
LWLDWW
17 May
vs Troszyn
0–1
L
13 May
@ Mławianka Mława
1–0
W
10 May
vs Łomża
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Warta Sieradz
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Broń Radom
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Znicz Biała Piska
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bełchatów and Jagiellonia II.
What is the prediction for Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II?
On our numbers Bełchatów have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jagiellonia II 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II?
Our predicted score is Bełchatów 1–2 Jagiellonia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II?
Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GKS-u.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wasilków1
Broń Radom4
Znicz Biała Piska3
Wikielec1