Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultŁomża to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Jagiellonia II vs Łomża preview and prediction
The match
Łomża travel to Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok in the III Liga Group 1 on Sunday 10 May (11:00 WAT) to face Jagiellonia II. Jagiellonia II are 12th with 20 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Łomża sit 18th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Jagiellonia II's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Warta Sieradz 3–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.0 for Jagiellonia II and 2.0 for Łomża. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 48% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jagiellonia II 22%, draw 15%, Łomża 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Łomża to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jagiellonia II 0–1 Łomża. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jagiellonia II22%fair 4.45 · @3.85
Draw15%fair 6.66 · @3.85
Łomża63%fair 1.60 · @1.67
2.98Expected goals
1.02Jagiellonia II xG
1.96Łomża xG
48%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
0–110%
1–210%
0–210%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia II 1.0 – 2.0 Łomża expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Łomża to win✓
63%
1.60
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Half-time result
Łomża ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Łomża / FT Łomża✓
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Jagiellonia II – last 6
DWWWLW
30 Apr
@ Warta Sieradz
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Broń Radom
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Znicz Biała Piska
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Wisła Płock II
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa II
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Olimpia Elbląg
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Łomża
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia II and Łomża.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
Our pick is Łomża to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
On our numbers Jagiellonia II have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Łomża 63%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia II 0–1 Łomża, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia II vs Łomża?
Jagiellonia II vs Łomża (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
