Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Warta Sieradz to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWarta Sieradz to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.09
Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II preview and prediction
The match
The III Liga Group 1 sees Warta Sieradz take on Jagiellonia II on Thursday 30 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion MOSiR. Warta Sieradz are 5th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Jagiellonia II sit 12th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Warta Sieradz's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Troszyn 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Jagiellonia II's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Broń Radom 2–1 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jagiellonia II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Warta Sieradz and 1.0 for Jagiellonia II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Warta Sieradz 59%, draw 18%, Jagiellonia II 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Warta Sieradz to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Warta Sieradz 1–0 Jagiellonia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Warta Sieradz59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @3.70
Jagiellonia II23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
2.80Expected goals
1.81Warta Sieradz xG
0.99Jagiellonia II xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Warta Sieradz 1.8 – 1.0 Jagiellonia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Warta Sieradz to win✗
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Warta Sieradz ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Warta Sieradz / FT Warta Sieradz✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.09
–
Form
Warta Sieradz – last 6
LDWWLW
10 Apr
vs Troszyn
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Legia Warszawa II
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Swit
3–1
W
25 Mar
vs Olimpia Elbląg
4–1
W
20 Mar
vs Widzew II
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Mławianka Mława
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia II – last 6
WWWLWW
19 Apr
@ Broń Radom
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Znicz Biała Piska
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Wisła Płock II
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa II
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Olimpia Elbląg
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Wikielec
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warta Sieradz and Jagiellonia II.
What is the prediction for Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?
Our pick is Warta Sieradz to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?
On our numbers Warta Sieradz have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Jagiellonia II 23%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?
Our predicted score is Warta Sieradz 1–0 Jagiellonia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II?
Warta Sieradz vs Jagiellonia II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion MOSiR.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
