Value bet: Jagiellonia II to win @ 2.45 – our chance 47% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJagiellonia II to win ✓47% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Broń Radom vs Jagiellonia II preview and prediction
The match
Broń Radom host Jagiellonia II in the III Liga Group 1 on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Stadion Lekkoatletyczno-Piłkarski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego.
Form guide
Broń Radom's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Widzew II 0–6 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Jagiellonia II's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Znicz Biała Piska 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jagiellonia II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Broń Radom and 1.6 for Jagiellonia II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Broń Radom 34%, draw 19%, Jagiellonia II 47%.
Value angle: Jagiellonia II to win at 2.45 – 47% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Broń Radom 1–2 Jagiellonia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Broń Radom34%fair 2.97 · @2.38
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.60
Jagiellonia II47%fair 2.13 · @2.45
2.83Expected goals
1.27Broń Radom xG
1.56Jagiellonia II xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Broń Radom 1.3 – 1.6 Jagiellonia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jagiellonia II to win✓
47%
2.13
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jagiellonia II / FT Jagiellonia II✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
Broń Radom – last 3
LLD
15 Mar
@ Widzew II
0–6
L
6 Mar
vs Wikielec
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ Wisła Płock II
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia II – last 5
WWLWW
15 Apr
@ Znicz Biała Piska
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Wisła Płock II
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Legia Warszawa II
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Olimpia Elbląg
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Wikielec
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Broń Radom and Jagiellonia II.
What is the prediction for Broń Radom vs Jagiellonia II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Broń Radom vs Jagiellonia II?
On our numbers Broń Radom have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jagiellonia II 47%.
How many goals will there be in Broń Radom vs Jagiellonia II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Broń Radom vs Jagiellonia II?
Our predicted score is Broń Radom 1–2 Jagiellonia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Broń Radom vs Jagiellonia II?
Broń Radom vs Jagiellonia II (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lekkoatletyczno-Piłkarski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wasilków1
Legia Warszawa II1