Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Warta Sieradz to win @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWarta Sieradz to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceWarta Sieradz or draw ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn preview and prediction
The match
Troszyn travel to Stadion MOSiR in the III Liga Group 1 on Friday 10 April (18:00 WAT) to face Warta Sieradz. Warta Sieradz are 5th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Troszyn sit 17th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Warta Sieradz's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Legia Warszawa II 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.4 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Warta Sieradz and 1.2 for Troszyn. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Warta Sieradz to win at 1.85 – 57% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Warta Sieradz or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Warta Sieradz 2–1 Troszyn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Warta Sieradz57%fair 1.74 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.75
Troszyn21%fair 4.73 · @3.20
3.27Expected goals
2.08Warta Sieradz xG
1.20Troszyn xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Warta Sieradz 2.1 – 1.2 Troszyn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Warta Sieradz to win✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Warta Sieradz or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Warta Sieradz ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Warta Sieradz / FT Warta Sieradz✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
Warta Sieradz – last 5
DWWLW
4 Apr
@ Legia Warszawa II
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Swit
3–1
W
25 Mar
vs Olimpia Elbląg
4–1
W
20 Mar
vs Widzew II
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Mławianka Mława
3–2
W
2.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Troszyn – last 2
WW
4 Apr
vs Wasilków
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Widzew II
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warta Sieradz and Troszyn.
What is the prediction for Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn?
Our pick is Warta Sieradz or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn?
On our numbers Warta Sieradz have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Troszyn 21%.
How many goals will there be in Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn?
Our predicted score is Warta Sieradz 2–1 Troszyn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn?
Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn (III Liga Group 1) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion MOSiR.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.