Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia M'gladbach II prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Sportfreunde Siegen or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sportfreunde Siegen to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportfreunde Siegen to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceSportfreunde Siegen or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia M'gladbach II preview and prediction
The match
Borussia M'gladbach II travel to Leimbachstadion in the Regionalliga West on Saturday 4 April (13:00 WAT) to face Sportfreunde Siegen. Sportfreunde Siegen are 5th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Borussia M'gladbach II sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sportfreunde Siegen's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Köln II 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Sportfreunde Siegen and 1.1 for Borussia M'gladbach II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Sportfreunde Siegen or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Sportfreunde Siegen to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sportfreunde Siegen or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sportfreunde Siegen 1–1 Borussia M'gladbach II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportfreunde Siegen59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.75
Borussia M'gladbach II20%fair 4.96 · @3.35
3.02Expected goals
1.96Sportfreunde Siegen xG
1.05Borussia M'gladbach II xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sportfreunde Siegen 2.0 – 1.1 Borussia M'gladbach II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportfreunde Siegen to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Sportfreunde Siegen or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.44
Half-time result
Sportfreunde Siegen ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportfreunde Siegen / FT Sportfreunde Siegen✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Sportfreunde Siegen – last 5
WDWLW
27 Mar
vs Köln II
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Bochum II
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Wuppertaler SV
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs FC Bocholt
0–1
L
24 Feb
vs Paderborn II
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Borussia M'gladbach II – last 2
WL
13 Mar
@ Wiedenbrück
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Crystal Palace U21
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportfreunde Siegen and Borussia M'gladbach II.
What is the prediction for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
Our pick is Sportfreunde Siegen or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
On our numbers Sportfreunde Siegen have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Borussia M'gladbach II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
Our predicted score is Sportfreunde Siegen 1–1 Borussia M'gladbach II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia M'gladbach II (Regionalliga West) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Leimbachstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fortuna Köln0
Fortuna Düsseldorf II2
Wuppertaler SV0
SSVg Velbert1