Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Stuttgarter Kickers to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStuttgarter Kickers to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.82
Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II preview and prediction
The match
The Regionalliga SudWest sees Stuttgarter Kickers take on FSV Mainz 05 II on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at GAZİ-Stadion auf der Waldau. Stuttgarter Kickers are 5th with 26 points from 15 games (in the top half), while FSV Mainz 05 II sit 15th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Stuttgarter Kickers and 1.0 for FSV Mainz 05 II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Value angle: Stuttgarter Kickers to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Stuttgarter Kickers 2–0 FSV Mainz 05 II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stuttgarter Kickers64%fair 1.57 · @1.95
Draw17%fair 6.05 · @3.55
FSV Mainz 05 II20%fair 5.02 · @3.25
2.99Expected goals
2.01Stuttgarter Kickers xG
0.98FSV Mainz 05 II xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Stuttgarter Kickers 2.0 – 1.0 FSV Mainz 05 II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stuttgarter Kickers to win✓
64%
1.57
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Half-time result
Stuttgarter Kickers ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stuttgarter Kickers / FT Stuttgarter Kickers✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.82
–
Form
Stuttgarter Kickers
No recent results on record.
FSV Mainz 05 II
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stuttgarter Kickers and FSV Mainz 05 II.
What is the prediction for Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
On our numbers Stuttgarter Kickers have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FSV Mainz 05 II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
Our predicted score is Stuttgarter Kickers 2–0 FSV Mainz 05 II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
Stuttgarter Kickers vs FSV Mainz 05 II (Regionalliga SudWest) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at GAZİ-Stadion auf der Waldau.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.