Value bet: St. Pauli II to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEintracht Norderstedt to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.11
Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II preview and prediction
The match
The Regionalliga Nord sees Eintracht Norderstedt take on St. Pauli II on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion. Eintracht Norderstedt are 18th with 14 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while St. Pauli II sit 17th on 14 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Eintracht Norderstedt and 1.7 for St. Pauli II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Eintracht Norderstedt 41%, draw 21%, St. Pauli II 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.35.
Value angle: St. Pauli II to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Eintracht Norderstedt 1–1 St. Pauli II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Eintracht Norderstedt41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.80
St. Pauli II38%fair 2.62 · @2.90
3.48Expected goals
1.77Eintracht Norderstedt xG
1.71St. Pauli II xG
70%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%
From our goals model: Eintracht Norderstedt 1.8 – 1.7 St. Pauli II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Eintracht Norderstedt to win✓
41%
2.46
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.77
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Eintracht Norderstedt / FT Eintracht Norderstedt✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.11
–
Form
Eintracht Norderstedt – last 1
L
27 Feb
@ SV DrochtersenAssel
1–5
L
1.0Scored / game
5.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
St. Pauli II – last 1
D
1 Mar
vs BW Lohne
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eintracht Norderstedt and St. Pauli II.
What is the prediction for Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II?
On our numbers Eintracht Norderstedt have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Pauli II 38%.
How many goals will there be in Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II?
Our predicted score is Eintracht Norderstedt 1–1 St. Pauli II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II?
Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Edmund-Plambeck-Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SV Meppen3