Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Phönix Lübeck to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhönix Lübeck to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chancePhönix Lübeck or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II preview and prediction
The match
The Regionalliga Nord sees Phönix Lübeck take on St. Pauli II on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Buniamshof. Phönix Lübeck are 4th with 34 points from 16 games (in the top four), while St. Pauli II sit 17th on 14 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Phönix Lübeck's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to VfB Lübeck 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
St. Pauli II's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to VfB Oldenburg 1–4 away. They average 1.4 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Phönix Lübeck and 1.0 for St. Pauli II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Phönix Lübeck 67%, draw 19%, St. Pauli II 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Phönix Lübeck to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Phönix Lübeck 2–0 St. Pauli II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Phönix Lübeck67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.80
St. Pauli II14%fair 7.27 · @6.00
3.30Expected goals
2.33Phönix Lübeck xG
0.97St. Pauli II xG
60%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Phönix Lübeck 2.3 – 1.0 St. Pauli II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Phönix Lübeck to win✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Double chance
Phönix Lübeck or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Half-time result
Phönix Lübeck ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Phönix Lübeck / FT Phönix Lübeck✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Phönix Lübeck – last 5
LWDLD
19 Apr
@ VfB Lübeck
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Kickers Emden
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Eintracht Norderstedt
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ VfB Oldenburg
1–3
L
15 Mar
@ Bremer SV
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
St. Pauli II – last 5
LWLLD
19 Apr
@ VfB Oldenburg
1–4
L
29 Mar
vs HSC Hannover
3–2
W
15 Mar
vs Schöningen
0–5
L
8 Mar
@ Eintracht Norderstedt
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs BW Lohne
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Phönix Lübeck and St. Pauli II.
What is the prediction for Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
Our pick is Phönix Lübeck to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
On our numbers Phönix Lübeck have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and St. Pauli II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
Our predicted score is Phönix Lübeck 2–0 St. Pauli II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II?
Phönix Lübeck vs St. Pauli II (Regionalliga Nord) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Buniamshof.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
