Value bet: Chemnitzer FC to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChemnitzer FC to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceChemnitzer FC or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.87
Chemnitzer FC vs ZFC Meuselwitz preview and prediction
The match
Chemnitzer FC host ZFC Meuselwitz in the Regionalliga Nordost on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadion Chemnitz.
Form guide
Chemnitzer FC's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Hertha Zehlendorf 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
ZFC Meuselwitz's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Chemnitzer FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Chemnitzer FC and 0.9 for ZFC Meuselwitz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chemnitzer FC 63%, draw 24%, ZFC Meuselwitz 13%.
Safer route: Chemnitzer FC or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Chemnitzer FC to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Chemnitzer FC 2–0 ZFC Meuselwitz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chemnitzer FC63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.65
ZFC Meuselwitz13%fair 7.71 · @3.75
2.95Expected goals
2.08Chemnitzer FC xG
0.87ZFC Meuselwitz xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Chemnitzer FC 2.1 – 0.9 ZFC Meuselwitz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chemnitzer FC to win✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Chemnitzer FC or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.40
Half-time result
Chemnitzer FC ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chemnitzer FC / FT Chemnitzer FC✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.87
–
Form
Chemnitzer FC – last 6
WLDWLW
17 Apr
@ Hertha Zehlendorf
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ BFC Preussen
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Eilenburg
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena
4–1
W
4 Mar
@ BSG Chemie Leipzig
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs SV Babelsberg 03
5–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
ZFC Meuselwitz – last 6
LLLLLW
19 Apr
vs FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt
0–3
L
15 Apr
vs BFC Dynamo
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Magdeburg II
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs BFC Preussen
2–3
L
17 Mar
@ Eilenburg
1–5
L
13 Mar
@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chemnitzer FC and ZFC Meuselwitz.
What is the prediction for Chemnitzer FC vs ZFC Meuselwitz?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs ZFC Meuselwitz?
On our numbers Chemnitzer FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and ZFC Meuselwitz 13%.
How many goals will there be in Chemnitzer FC vs ZFC Meuselwitz?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chemnitzer FC vs ZFC Meuselwitz?
Our predicted score is Chemnitzer FC 2–0 ZFC Meuselwitz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Chemnitzer FC vs ZFC Meuselwitz?
Chemnitzer FC vs ZFC Meuselwitz (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chemnitz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
