FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig preview and prediction
The match
BSG Chemie Leipzig travel to Steigerwaldstadion in the Regionalliga Nordost on Sunday 8 March (14:00 WAT) to face FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt. FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt are 1st with 37 points from 16 games (top of the table), while BSG Chemie Leipzig sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BSG Chemie Leipzig's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Chemnitzer FC 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and 1.0 for BSG Chemie Leipzig. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1–1 BSG Chemie Leipzig. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt60%fair 1.67 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @3.70
BSG Chemie Leipzig22%fair 4.65 · @4.10
2.87Expected goals
1.88FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt xG
1.00BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1.9 – 1.0 BSG Chemie Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win✗
60%
1.67
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.48
Half-time result
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt / FT FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.43
–
Form
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt – last 2
WW
4 Mar
@ Greifswalder FC
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Magdeburg II
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
BSG Chemie Leipzig – last 3
WLL
4 Mar
vs Chemnitzer FC
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Hallescher FC
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt and BSG Chemie Leipzig.
What is the prediction for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
On our numbers FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and BSG Chemie Leipzig 22%.
How many goals will there be in FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
Our predicted score is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt 1–1 BSG Chemie Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig?
FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Leipzig (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Steigerwaldstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ZFC Meuselwitz4
Hertha Zehlendorf1