Value bet: Lokomotive Leipzig to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLokomotive Leipzig to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceLokomotive Leipzig or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig preview and prediction
The match
Lokomotive Leipzig travel to Stadion Chemnitz in the Regionalliga Nordost on Sunday 15 February (16:00 WAT) to face Chemnitzer FC. Chemnitzer FC are 2nd with 33 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Lokomotive Leipzig sit 9th on 24 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Chemnitzer FC and 1.9 for Lokomotive Leipzig. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chemnitzer FC 16%, draw 26%, Lokomotive Leipzig 58%.
Safer route: Lokomotive Leipzig or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Lokomotive Leipzig to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Chemnitzer FC 0–2 Lokomotive Leipzig. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chemnitzer FC16%fair 6.24 · @3.75
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.40
Lokomotive Leipzig58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
2.82Expected goals
0.92Chemnitzer FC xG
1.90Lokomotive Leipzig xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Chemnitzer FC 0.9 – 1.9 Lokomotive Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotive Leipzig to win✗
58%
1.71
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Lokomotive Leipzig or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.36
Half-time result
Lokomotive Leipzig ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotive Leipzig / FT Lokomotive Leipzig✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Chemnitzer FC
No recent results on record.
Lokomotive Leipzig
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chemnitzer FC and Lokomotive Leipzig.
What is the prediction for Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
On our numbers Chemnitzer FC have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lokomotive Leipzig 58%.
How many goals will there be in Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Chemnitzer FC 0–2 Lokomotive Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?
Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Chemnitz.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
