BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Chemnitzer FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChemnitzer FC to win ✗54% · @1.92
Double chanceChemnitzer FC or draw ✗80% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.65
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC preview and prediction
The match
Chemnitzer FC travel to Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark in the Regionalliga Nordost on Wednesday 4 March (19:00 WAT) to face BSG Chemie Leipzig. BSG Chemie Leipzig are 14th with 14 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Chemnitzer FC sit 2nd on 33 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.1 for BSG Chemie Leipzig and 1.7 for Chemnitzer FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Chemnitzer FC or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–1 Chemnitzer FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BSG Chemie Leipzig20%fair 4.94 · @3.71
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.50
Chemnitzer FC54%fair 1.85 · @1.92
2.81Expected goals
1.09BSG Chemie Leipzig xG
1.71Chemnitzer FC xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: BSG Chemie Leipzig 1.1 – 1.7 Chemnitzer FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chemnitzer FC to win✗
54%
1.85
1.92
Double chance
Chemnitzer FC or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.41
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chemnitzer FC / FT Chemnitzer FC✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.65
–
Form
BSG Chemie Leipzig – last 2
LL
1 Mar
vs Hallescher FC
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chemnitzer FC – last 2
WW
27 Feb
vs SV Babelsberg 03
5–1
W
15 Feb
vs Lokomotive Leipzig
3–0
W
4.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BSG Chemie Leipzig and Chemnitzer FC.
What is the prediction for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our pick is Chemnitzer FC or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
On our numbers BSG Chemie Leipzig have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chemnitzer FC 54%.
How many goals will there be in BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
Our predicted score is BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–1 Chemnitzer FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC?
BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer FC (Regionalliga Nordost) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfred-Kunze-Sportpark.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ZFC Meuselwitz0
Hertha Zehlendorf1