Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Penang to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPenang to win ✗62% · @1.90
Double chancePenang or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.63
Penang vs Sabah FA preview and prediction
The match
Sabah FA travel to Bandaraya Stadium in the Super League on Sunday 26 April (10:00 WAT) to face Penang. Penang are 11th with 4 points from 6 games (in the bottom three), while Sabah FA sit 5th on 10 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Penang's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Kelantan United 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sabah FA's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Melaka 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Penang arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Penang and 1.0 for Sabah FA. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Penang 62%, draw 23%, Sabah FA 15%.
Safer route: Penang or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Penang to win at 1.90 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Penang or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Penang 2–0 Sabah FA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penang62%fair 1.62 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Sabah FA15%fair 6.46 · @3.50
3.02Expected goals
2.06Penang xG
0.96Sabah FA xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Penang 2.1 – 1.0 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penang to win✗
62%
1.62
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Penang or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Half-time result
Penang ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penang / FT Penang✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.63
–
Form
Penang – last 3
WWW
11 Mar
vs Kelantan United
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Kelantan United
5–2
W
14 Feb
vs Kelantan Red Warrior FC
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sabah FA – last 5
LWDLD
23 Apr
@ Melaka
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Perak
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Perak
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–6
L
15 Feb
@ Pdrm
1–1
D
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penang and Sabah FA.
Our pick is Penang or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Penang vs Sabah FA?
On our numbers Penang have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sabah FA 15%.
How many goals will there be in Penang vs Sabah FA?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penang vs Sabah FA?
Our predicted score is Penang 2–0 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Penang vs Sabah FA?
Penang vs Sabah FA (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Bandaraya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
