Value bet: Persija to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersija to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Persik Kediri vs Persija preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 1 sees Persik Kediri take on Persija on Saturday 16 May, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Brawijaya Stadium. Persik Kediri are 13th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Persija sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Persik Kediri's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Semen Padang 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Persija's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Persib Bandung 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Persik Kediri arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Persik Kediri and 1.9 for Persija. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Persija to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Persik Kediri 0–2 Persija. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persik Kediri22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
Draw14%fair 7.19 · @3.60
Persija64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
2.85Expected goals
0.94Persik Kediri xG
1.90Persija xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–210%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Persik Kediri 0.9 – 1.9 Persija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persija to win✓
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
Persija ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persija / FT Persija✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Persik Kediri – last 6
WWLLWL
8 May
@ Semen Padang
3–0
W
3 May
vs Arema FC
3–2
W
29 Apr
vs Pusamania Borneo
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ PSM Makassar
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Persepam Madura Utd
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Persija – last 6
LDLDDW
10 May
vs Persib Bandung
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Bhayangkara FC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Dewa United
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Pusamania Borneo
2–2
D
24 Feb
@ Malut United
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persik Kediri and Persija.
What is the prediction for Persik Kediri vs Persija?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Persik Kediri vs Persija?
On our numbers Persik Kediri have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Persija 64%.
How many goals will there be in Persik Kediri vs Persija?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persik Kediri vs Persija?
Our predicted score is Persik Kediri 0–2 Persija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Persik Kediri vs Persija?
Persik Kediri vs Persija (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Brawijaya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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