Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd preview and prediction
The match
Bhayangkara FC host Persepam Madura Utd in the Liga 1 on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Sumpah Pemuda. Bhayangkara FC are 9th with 12 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Persepam Madura Utd sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Bhayangkara FC's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Persib Bandung 2–4 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Persepam Madura Utd's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Bali United 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Bhayangkara FC and 1.3 for Persepam Madura Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Bhayangkara FC 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bhayangkara FC41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Persepam Madura Utd36%fair 2.78 · @2.85
2.66Expected goals
1.39Bhayangkara FC xG
1.28Persepam Madura Utd xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bhayangkara FC 1.4 – 1.3 Persepam Madura Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bhayangkara FC to win✓
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bhayangkara FC / FT Bhayangkara FC✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
Bhayangkara FC – last 6
LLWWWW
30 Apr
vs Persib Bandung
2–4
L
22 Apr
@ Persis Solo
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Persija
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Arema FC
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Dewa United
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Persepam Madura Utd – last 6
WWLWWL
5 May
vs Bali United
2–0
W
29 Apr
@ Semen Padang
1–0
W
25 Apr
vs Dewa United
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Persebaya Surabaya
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs Persik Kediri
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Pusamania Borneo
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bhayangkara FC and Persepam Madura Utd.
What is the prediction for Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd?
On our numbers Bhayangkara FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Persepam Madura Utd 36%.
How many goals will there be in Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our predicted score is Bhayangkara FC 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Bhayangkara FC vs Persepam Madura Utd (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Sumpah Pemuda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
