Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Persik Kediri to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersik Kediri to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chancePersik Kediri or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.30
Persik Kediri vs Arema FC preview and prediction
The match
Arema FC travel to Brawijaya Stadium in the Liga 1 on Sunday 3 May (09:30 WAT) to face Persik Kediri. Persik Kediri are 13th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Arema FC sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Persik Kediri's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Pusamania Borneo 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Arema FC's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Persebaya Surabaya 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arema FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Persik Kediri and 1.0 for Arema FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Persik Kediri 57%, draw 22%, Arema FC 22%.
Safer route: Persik Kediri or draw (78%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Persik Kediri to win at 1.95 – 57% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Persik Kediri or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Persik Kediri 1–1 Arema FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persik Kediri57%fair 1.76 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.45
Arema FC22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
2.82Expected goals
1.81Persik Kediri xG
1.01Arema FC xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
3–16%
From our goals model: Persik Kediri 1.8 – 1.0 Arema FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persik Kediri to win✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Persik Kediri or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Persik Kediri ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persik Kediri / FT Persik Kediri✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.30
–
Form
Persik Kediri – last 6
LLWLDL
29 Apr
vs Pusamania Borneo
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ PSM Makassar
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
11 Apr
@ Persepam Madura Utd
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Persijap
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Persib Bandung
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arema FC – last 6
LDWWDL
28 Apr
vs Persebaya Surabaya
0–4
L
24 Apr
@ Persib Bandung
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Persis Solo
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Persita
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Malut United
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persik Kediri and Arema FC.
What is the prediction for Persik Kediri vs Arema FC?
Our pick is Persik Kediri or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Persik Kediri vs Arema FC?
On our numbers Persik Kediri have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arema FC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Persik Kediri vs Arema FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persik Kediri vs Arema FC?
Our predicted score is Persik Kediri 1–1 Arema FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Persik Kediri vs Arema FC?
Persik Kediri vs Arema FC (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Brawijaya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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