Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.31
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor preview and prediction
The match
PSBS Biak Numfor travel to Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium in the Liga 1 on Saturday 2 May (09:30 WAT) to face Persebaya Surabaya.
Form guide
Persebaya Surabaya's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Arema FC 4–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
PSBS Biak Numfor's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Malut United 0–7 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Persebaya Surabaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.4 for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.6 for PSBS Biak Numfor. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Persebaya Surabaya 2–1 PSBS Biak Numfor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persebaya Surabaya77%fair 1.29 · @1.04
Draw14%fair 7.35 · @9.40
PSBS Biak Numfor9%fair 11.02 · @34.00
3.05Expected goals
2.40Persebaya Surabaya xG
0.65PSBS Biak Numfor xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–011%
3–011%
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 2.4 – 0.6 PSBS Biak Numfor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✓
77%
1.29
1.04
Double chance
Persebaya Surabaya or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.33
Half-time result
Persebaya Surabaya ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✗
52%
1.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.31
–
Form
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
WWLWDW
28 Apr
@ Arema FC
4–0
W
23 Apr
@ Malut United
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Persita
1–0
W
2 Mar
vs Persib Bandung
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs PSM Makassar
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
PSBS Biak Numfor – last 6
LLLLLL
28 Apr
vs Malut United
0–7
L
11 Apr
@ Pusamania Borneo
1–5
L
6 Apr
@ Bali United
1–6
L
9 Mar
vs Semen Padang
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Persik Kediri
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
2–4
L
0.8Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and PSBS Biak Numfor.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 14% and PSBS Biak Numfor 9%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 2–1 PSBS Biak Numfor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSBS Biak Numfor (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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