Value bet: Persita to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPSIM Yogyakarta to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.65
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita preview and prediction
The match
Persita travel to Mandala Krida Stadium in the Liga 1 on Thursday 30 April (09:30 WAT) to face PSIM Yogyakarta. PSIM Yogyakarta are 17th with 5 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Persita sit 6th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
PSIM Yogyakarta's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Persija 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Persita's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Bali United 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for PSIM Yogyakarta and 1.2 for Persita. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Persita to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: PSIM Yogyakarta 1–1 Persita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSIM Yogyakarta41%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.35
Persita37%fair 2.73 · @3.00
2.54Expected goals
1.31PSIM Yogyakarta xG
1.23Persita xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: PSIM Yogyakarta 1.3 – 1.2 Persita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSIM Yogyakarta to win✗
41%
2.47
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSIM Yogyakarta / FT PSIM Yogyakarta✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.65
–
Form
PSIM Yogyakarta – last 6
DLLLDD
22 Apr
vs Persija
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs PSM Makassar
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Dewa United
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Persijap
2–2
D
4 Mar
@ Semen Padang
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Persita – last 6
LLLLWL
23 Apr
vs Bali United
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Persik Kediri
0–1
L
10 Apr
vs Arema FC
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Persebaya Surabaya
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ PSM Makassar
4–2
W
26 Feb
vs Dewa United
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSIM Yogyakarta and Persita.
What is the prediction for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita?
On our numbers PSIM Yogyakarta have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Persita 37%.
How many goals will there be in PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita?
Our predicted score is PSIM Yogyakarta 1–1 Persita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita?
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persita (Liga 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Mandala Krida Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
