Semen Padang vs Persepam Madura Utd preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 1 sees Semen Padang take on Persepam Madura Utd on Wednesday 29 April, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim.
Form guide
Semen Padang's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Persijap 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Persepam Madura Utd's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Dewa United 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Semen Padang and 1.3 for Persepam Madura Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Semen Padang 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Semen Padang37%fair 2.71 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.25
Persepam Madura Utd39%fair 2.54 · @2.65
2.59Expected goals
1.27Semen Padang xG
1.32Persepam Madura Utd xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Semen Padang 1.3 – 1.3 Persepam Madura Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persepam Madura Utd to win✓
39%
2.54
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persepam Madura Utd / FT Persepam Madura Utd✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
10.09
–
Form
Semen Padang – last 6
LLLWDL
20 Apr
vs Persijap
0–2
L
12 Apr
@ Persis Solo
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Persib Bandung
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ PSBS Biak Numfor
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Bhayangkara FC
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Persepam Madura Utd – last 6
LWWLLL
25 Apr
vs Dewa United
1–2
L
17 Apr
@ Persebaya Surabaya
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs Persik Kediri
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Pusamania Borneo
1–3
L
3 Mar
vs Malut United
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ Persib Bandung
0–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Semen Padang and Persepam Madura Utd.
What is the prediction for Semen Padang vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Semen Padang vs Persepam Madura Utd?
On our numbers Semen Padang have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Persepam Madura Utd 39%.
How many goals will there be in Semen Padang vs Persepam Madura Utd?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Semen Padang vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our predicted score is Semen Padang 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Semen Padang vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Semen Padang vs Persepam Madura Utd (Liga 1) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
