Value bet: Bali United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBali United to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.12
Bali United vs PSM Makassar preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 1 sees Bali United take on PSM Makassar on Monday 27 April, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium. Bali United are 3rd with 19 points from 9 games (in the top four), while PSM Makassar sit 12th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Bali United's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Persita 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
PSM Makassar's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Persik Kediri 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Bali United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Bali United and 1.0 for PSM Makassar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bali United 58%, draw 21%, PSM Makassar 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Bali United to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bali United 1–1 PSM Makassar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bali United58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.45
PSM Makassar21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
2.81Expected goals
1.82Bali United xG
0.99PSM Makassar xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Bali United 1.8 – 1.0 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bali United to win✓
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Bali United ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bali United / FT Bali United✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.12
–
Form
Bali United – last 6
WWLWLW
23 Apr
@ Persita
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Malut United
4–1
W
12 Apr
@ Persib Bandung
2–3
L
6 Apr
vs PSBS Biak Numfor
6–1
W
12 Mar
@ Persis Solo
0–3
L
6 Mar
@ Arema FC
4–3
W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PSM Makassar – last 6
WWDDLL
23 Apr
vs Persik Kediri
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Persis Solo
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Malut United
3–3
D
2 Mar
vs Persita
2–4
L
25 Feb
@ Persebaya Surabaya
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bali United and PSM Makassar.
What is the prediction for Bali United vs PSM Makassar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bali United vs PSM Makassar?
On our numbers Bali United have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PSM Makassar 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bali United vs PSM Makassar?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bali United vs PSM Makassar?
Our predicted score is Bali United 1–1 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bali United vs PSM Makassar?
Bali United vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Persija Jakarta4
Persis Solo0