Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Persija to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersija to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chancePersija or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.42
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 1 sees PSIM Yogyakarta take on Persija on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Mandala Krida Stadium. PSIM Yogyakarta are 17th with 5 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while Persija sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
PSIM Yogyakarta's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Bhayangkara FC 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Persija's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Bhayangkara FC 2–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Persija arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for PSIM Yogyakarta and 1.9 for Persija. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Persija to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Persija or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: PSIM Yogyakarta 0–1 Persija. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSIM Yogyakarta14%fair 7.26 · @3.65
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.45
Persija64%fair 1.55 · @1.85
2.68Expected goals
0.76PSIM Yogyakarta xG
1.92Persija xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: PSIM Yogyakarta 0.8 – 1.9 Persija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persija to win✗
64%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Persija or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Persija ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persija / FT Persija✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.42
–
Form
PSIM Yogyakarta – last 6
LLLDDW
17 Apr
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
10 Apr
vs PSM Makassar
1–2
L
3 Apr
@ Dewa United
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Persijap
2–2
D
4 Mar
@ Semen Padang
0–0
D
27 Feb
@ PSBS Biak Numfor
4–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Persija – last 6
LDDWWW
5 Apr
@ Bhayangkara FC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Dewa United
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Pusamania Borneo
2–2
D
24 Feb
@ Malut United
3–2
W
20 Feb
vs PSM Makassar
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Bali United
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSIM Yogyakarta and Persija.
What is the prediction for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija?
Our pick is Persija or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija?
On our numbers PSIM Yogyakarta have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Persija 64%.
How many goals will there be in PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija?
Our predicted score is PSIM Yogyakarta 0–1 Persija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija?
PSIM Yogyakarta vs Persija (Liga 1) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Mandala Krida Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Persis Solo2