Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Arema FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArema FC to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceArema FC or draw ✗84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.33
Arema FC vs Bali United preview and prediction
The match
Arema FC host Bali United in the Liga 1 on Friday 6 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Kanjuruhan. Arema FC are 14th with 9 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Bali United sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Arema FC's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Pusamania Borneo 1–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Arema FC and 0.9 for Bali United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arema FC 59%, draw 25%, Bali United 16%.
Safer route: Arema FC or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Arema FC to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Arema FC or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Arema FC 1–0 Bali United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arema FC59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.45
Bali United16%fair 6.15 · @3.65
2.74Expected goals
1.85Arema FC xG
0.88Bali United xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Arema FC 1.9 – 0.9 Bali United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arema FC to win✗
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Arema FC or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.36
Half-time result
Arema FC ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arema FC / FT Arema FC✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.33
–
Form
Arema FC – last 3
LDW
26 Feb
@ Pusamania Borneo
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Persepam Madura Utd
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Semen Padang
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bali United – last 2
DL
23 Feb
@ PSIM Yogyakarta
3–3
D
15 Feb
vs Persija
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arema FC and Bali United.
What is the prediction for Arema FC vs Bali United?
Our pick is Arema FC or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arema FC vs Bali United?
On our numbers Arema FC have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bali United 16%.
How many goals will there be in Arema FC vs Bali United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arema FC vs Bali United?
Our predicted score is Arema FC 1–0 Bali United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arema FC vs Bali United?
Arema FC vs Bali United (Liga 1) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kanjuruhan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
