Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Persib Bandung or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Persib Bandung to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersib Bandung to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chancePersib Bandung or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.75
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung preview and prediction
The match
Persebaya Surabaya host Persib Bandung in the Liga 1 on Monday 2 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium. Persebaya Surabaya are 8th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Persib Bandung sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Persebaya Surabaya and 1.7 for Persib Bandung. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Persebaya Surabaya 16%, draw 22%, Persib Bandung 63%.
Safer route: Persib Bandung or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Persib Bandung to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Persib Bandung or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Persebaya Surabaya 0–1 Persib Bandung. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persebaya Surabaya16%fair 6.34 · @3.85
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30
Persib Bandung63%fair 1.60 · @1.85
2.47Expected goals
0.72Persebaya Surabaya xG
1.75Persib Bandung xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 0.7 – 1.7 Persib Bandung expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persib Bandung to win✗
63%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Persib Bandung or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Half-time result
Persib Bandung ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persib Bandung / FT Persib Bandung✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.75
–
Form
Persebaya Surabaya – last 2
WL
25 Feb
vs PSM Makassar
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Bhayangkara FC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Persib Bandung – last 2
WW
26 Feb
vs Persepam Madura Utd
5–0
W
18 Feb
vs Ratchaburi
1–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and Persib Bandung.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
Our pick is Persib Bandung or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Persib Bandung 63%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 0–1 Persib Bandung, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung?
Persebaya Surabaya vs Persib Bandung (Liga 1) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
