Chorley travel to The Impact Arena in the National League North on Tuesday 31 March (19:45 WAT) to face Alfreton Town.
Form guide
Alfreton Town's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Macclesfield 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Chorley's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Kidderminster Harriers 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Alfreton Town and 1.4 for Chorley. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alfreton Town 35%, draw 24%, Chorley 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Alfreton Town 1–1 Chorley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alfreton Town35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Chorley41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
2.75Expected goals
1.31Alfreton Town xG
1.44Chorley xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.3 – 1.4 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chorley to win✗
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chorley / FT Chorley✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Alfreton Town – last 6
LWLDLW
24 Mar
vs Macclesfield
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs Hereford
2–1
W
17 Mar
@ Southport
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Radcliffe
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Kidderminster Harriers
0–1
L
24 Feb
vs Scarborough Athletic
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chorley – last 5
WDLLD
17 Mar
vs Kidderminster Harriers
2–1
W
10 Mar
vs South Shields
1–1
D
24 Feb
@ Spennymoor Town
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Bedford Town
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ AFC Telford United
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and Chorley.
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chorley 41%.
How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
Our predicted score is Alfreton Town 1–1 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alfreton Town vs Chorley?
Alfreton Town vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Impact Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AFC Fylde2
Kidderminster Harriers1