Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayern Munich W to win ✓74% · @1.11
Double chanceBayern Munich W or draw ✓90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.93
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.38
Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W preview and prediction
The match
The Frauen Bundesliga sees Union Berlin W take on Bayern Munich W on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Union Berlin W are 7th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Bayern Munich W sit 1st on 27 points (top of the table). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Berlin W's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with VfL Wolfsburg W 3–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Bayern Munich W's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat SGS Essen W 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bayern Munich W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.0 for Union Berlin W and 2.8 for Bayern Munich W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Berlin W 10%, draw 15%, Bayern Munich W 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Union Berlin W 1–2 Bayern Munich W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Berlin W10%fair 9.79 · @16.00
Draw15%fair 6.52 · @7.20
Bayern Munich W74%fair 1.34 · @1.11
3.78Expected goals
0.99Union Berlin W xG
2.79Bayern Munich W xG
58%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–29%
1–29%
0–38%
1–38%
0–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Union Berlin W 1.0 – 2.8 Bayern Munich W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern Munich W to win✓
74%
1.34
1.11
Double chance
Bayern Munich W or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Half-time result
Bayern Munich W ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern Munich W / FT Bayern Munich W✗
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.38
–
Form
Union Berlin W – last 4
DWWD
29 Mar
@ VfL Wolfsburg W
3–3
D
23 Mar
vs Werder Bremen W
4–1
W
20 Feb
vs FC Koln W
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ SC Freiburg W
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Bayern Munich W – last 6
WWWWWW
6 Apr
vs SGS Essen W
4–0
W
1 Apr
vs Manchester United W
2–1
W
28 Mar
vs Nürnberg
2–0
W
25 Mar
@ Manchester United W
3–2
W
20 Mar
@ SGS Essen W
5–0
W
15 Mar
@ FC Koln W
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin W and Bayern Munich W.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W?
On our numbers Union Berlin W have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Bayern Munich W 74%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin W 1–2 Bayern Munich W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W?
Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W (Frauen Bundesliga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
