Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓15% · fair 6.52
PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis preview and prediction
The match
The Super League 1 sees PAOK take on Asteras Tripolis on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Toumba Stadium. PAOK are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Asteras Tripolis sit 11th on 7 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
PAOK's last 4: LDLD Most recently they lost to Celta Vigo 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.2 for PAOK and 0.6 for Asteras Tripolis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: PAOK 2–0 Asteras Tripolis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAOK74%fair 1.35 · @1.27
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @5.00
Asteras Tripolis7%fair 13.68 · @9.70
2.74Expected goals
2.18PAOK xG
0.56Asteras Tripolis xG
48%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: PAOK 2.2 – 0.6 Asteras Tripolis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✓
74%
1.35
1.27
Double chance
PAOK or draw✓
93%
1.08
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.42
Half-time result
PAOK ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
15%
6.52
–
Form
PAOK – last 4
LDLD
26 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Larisa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Celta Vigo
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs AEK Athens FC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Asteras Tripolis – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Atromitos
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and Asteras Tripolis.
What is the prediction for PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
On our numbers PAOK have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Asteras Tripolis 7%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
Our predicted score is PAOK 2–0 Asteras Tripolis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis?
PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.