Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPAOK to win ✗65% · @1.28
Double chancePAOK or draw ✓88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.21
Larisa vs PAOK preview and prediction
The match
Larisa host PAOK in the Super League 1 on Sunday 22 February, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at AEL FC Arena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Larisa and 1.9 for PAOK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Larisa 12%, draw 23%, PAOK 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 52% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Larisa 0–2 PAOK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Larisa12%fair 8.44 · @11.00
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @4.55
PAOK65%fair 1.54 · @1.28
2.63Expected goals
0.71Larisa xG
1.92PAOK xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Larisa 0.7 – 1.9 PAOK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✗
65%
1.54
1.28
Double chance
PAOK or draw✓
88%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
PAOK ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.21
–
Form
Larisa – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Panathinaikos
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
PAOK – last 2
LD
19 Feb
vs Celta Vigo
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs AEK Athens FC
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Larisa and PAOK.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Larisa vs PAOK?
On our numbers Larisa have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PAOK 65%.
How many goals will there be in Larisa vs PAOK?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Larisa vs PAOK?
Our predicted score is Larisa 0–2 PAOK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Larisa vs PAOK?
Larisa vs PAOK (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at AEL FC Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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