PAOK host AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1 on Sunday 15 February, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT) at Toumba Stadium. PAOK are 4th with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while AEK Athens FC sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.5 for PAOK and 1.1 for AEK Athens FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: PAOK 46%, draw 25%, AEK Athens FC 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PAOK46%fair 2.16 · @2.28
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.78
AEK Athens FC29%fair 3.47 · @3.40
2.54Expected goals
1.46PAOK xG
1.09AEK Athens FC xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: PAOK 1.5 – 1.1 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAOK to win✗
46%
2.16
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PAOK / FT PAOK✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.73
–
Form
PAOK
No recent results on record.
AEK Athens FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAOK and AEK Athens FC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
On our numbers PAOK have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AEK Athens FC 29%.
How many goals will there be in PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
Our predicted score is PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Larisa1