Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Vorskla Poltava to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.89 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.89Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVorskla Poltava to win ✗61% · @1.89
Double chanceVorskla Poltava or draw ✓84% · fair 1.19
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.27
Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi preview and prediction
The match
Podillya Khmelnytskyi travel to Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho in the Persha Liga on Saturday 30 May (11:00 WAT) to face Vorskla Poltava.
Form guide
Vorskla Poltava's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Nyva Ternopil 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Podillya Khmelnytskyi's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Yarud Mariupol' 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Vorskla Poltava arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Vorskla Poltava and 0.6 for Podillya Khmelnytskyi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Vorskla Poltava to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.89, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vorskla Poltava 1–0 Podillya Khmelnytskyi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vorskla Poltava61%fair 1.64 · @1.89
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.30
Podillya Khmelnytskyi16%fair 6.23 · @4.10
2.05Expected goals
1.47Vorskla Poltava xG
0.58Podillya Khmelnytskyi xG
41%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vorskla Poltava 1.5 – 0.6 Podillya Khmelnytskyi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vorskla Poltava to win✗
61%
1.64
1.89 ▲
Double chance
Vorskla Poltava or draw✓
84%
1.19
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vorskla Poltava / FT Vorskla Poltava✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.27
–
Form
Vorskla Poltava – last 6
DDLWLL
23 May
@ Nyva Ternopil
1–1
D
17 May
vs Metal Kharkiv
1–1
D
9 May
@ Bukovyna
0–5
L
26 Apr
@ Chernihiv
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Probiy Horodenka
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Podillya Khmelnytskyi – last 6
DLLLLD
23 May
vs Yarud Mariupol'
0–0
D
17 May
vs Nyva Ternopil
1–2
L
9 May
@ Metal Kharkiv
0–3
L
2 May
vs Bukovyna
0–2
L
24 Apr
@ Livyi Bereh
0–1
L
18 Apr
vs Chernihiv
0–0
D
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vorskla Poltava and Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
What is the prediction for Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
Our pick is Vorskla Poltava to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.89.
Who will win Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
On our numbers Vorskla Poltava have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Podillya Khmelnytskyi 16%.
How many goals will there be in Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
Our predicted score is Vorskla Poltava 1–0 Podillya Khmelnytskyi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
Vorskla Poltava vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi (Persha Liga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
