Value bet: Vorskla Poltava to win @ 2.40 – our chance 44% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVorskla Poltava to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka preview and prediction
The match
The Persha Liga sees Vorskla Poltava take on Probiy Horodenka on Wednesday 8 April, kicking off at 12:15 (WAT) at Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Vorskla Poltava and 0.9 for Probiy Horodenka. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Vorskla Poltava to win at 2.40 – 44% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: Vorskla Poltava 1–1 Probiy Horodenka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vorskla Poltava44%fair 2.25 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.70
Probiy Horodenka31%fair 3.25 · @2.90
2.10Expected goals
1.18Vorskla Poltava xG
0.92Probiy Horodenka xG
51%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Vorskla Poltava 1.2 – 0.9 Probiy Horodenka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vorskla Poltava to win✗
44%
2.25
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vorskla Poltava / FT Vorskla Poltava✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
Vorskla Poltava – last 2
LW
4 Apr
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Inhulets
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Probiy Horodenka – last 2
WD
3 Apr
vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi
3–0
W
29 Mar
@ Nyva Ternopil
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vorskla Poltava and Probiy Horodenka.
What is the prediction for Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka?
On our numbers Vorskla Poltava have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Probiy Horodenka 31%.
How many goals will there be in Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka?
Our predicted score is Vorskla Poltava 1–1 Probiy Horodenka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka?
Vorskla Poltava vs Probiy Horodenka (Persha Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 12:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Vorskla im. Oleksiya Butovskoho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chornomorets2