Value bet: Krylia Sovetov to win @ 2.84 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKrylia Sovetov to win ✗39% · @2.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
FC Sochi vs Krylia Sovetov preview and prediction
The match
Krylia Sovetov travel to Fisht Olympic Stadium in the Premier League on Tuesday 21 April (15:30 WAT) to face FC Sochi.
Form guide
FC Sochi's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat FC Rostov 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to CSKA Moscow 2–5 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for FC Sochi and 1.4 for Krylia Sovetov. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Sochi 36%, draw 25%, Krylia Sovetov 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Krylia Sovetov to win at 2.84 – 39% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: FC Sochi 1–1 Krylia Sovetov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Sochi36%fair 2.78 · @2.74
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.15
Krylia Sovetov39%fair 2.59 · @2.84
2.65Expected goals
1.30FC Sochi xG
1.35Krylia Sovetov xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: FC Sochi 1.3 – 1.4 Krylia Sovetov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Krylia Sovetov to win✗
39%
2.59
2.84 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.87
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Krylia Sovetov / FT Krylia Sovetov✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
FC Sochi – last 6
WWLLLW
17 Apr
@ FC Rostov
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ CSKA Moscow
1–0
W
6 Apr
vs Rubin
0–1
L
14 Mar
vs FC Krasnodar
1–2
L
2 Mar
vs Spartak Moscow
2–3
L
21 Feb
vs Bars
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Krylia Sovetov – last 6
LLDLWW
7 Apr
vs CSKA Moscow
2–5
L
4 Apr
@ Zenit
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Rubin
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Nizhny Novgorod
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Dinamo Makhachkala
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs FC Orenburg
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Sochi and Krylia Sovetov.
What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Krylia Sovetov?
On our numbers FC Sochi have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Krylia Sovetov 39%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Krylia Sovetov?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Krylia Sovetov?
Our predicted score is FC Sochi 1–1 Krylia Sovetov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FC Sochi vs Krylia Sovetov?
FC Sochi vs Krylia Sovetov (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
