Value bet: Dynamo to win @ 1.86 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDynamo to win58% · @1.86
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.74
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 9.05
Nizhny Novgorod vs Dynamo preview and prediction
The match
Nizhny Novgorod host Dynamo in the Premier League on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Sovcombank Arena.
Form guide
Dynamo's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Akron 3–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.0 for Nizhny Novgorod and 1.8 for Dynamo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nizhny Novgorod 23%, draw 19%, Dynamo 58%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.74.
Value angle: Dynamo to win at 1.86 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 Dynamo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nizhny Novgorod23%fair 4.36 · @4.25
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @3.84
Dynamo58%fair 1.72 · @1.86
2.79Expected goals
0.99Nizhny Novgorod xG
1.79Dynamo xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 1.0 – 1.8 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dynamo to win
58%
1.72
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.74
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.33
Half-time result
Dynamo ahead at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dynamo / FT Dynamo
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
11%
9.05
–
Form
Nizhny Novgorod – last 2
LW
5 Apr
vs FC Rostov
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Krylia Sovetov
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dynamo – last 6
WDLLWW
13 Apr
@ Akron
3–2
W
8 Apr
vs FC Krasnodar
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Zenit
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ CSKA Moscow
4–1
W
5 Mar
vs Spartak Moscow
5–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nizhny Novgorod and Dynamo.
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Dynamo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Dynamo?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dynamo 58%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Dynamo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nizhny Novgorod vs Dynamo?
Our predicted score is Nizhny Novgorod 1–1 Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Dynamo?
Nizhny Novgorod vs Dynamo (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Sovcombank Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
