FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
Spartak Moscow or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.26Odds
2
Value bet: Spartak Moscow to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Moscow to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceSpartak Moscow or draw ✓82% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.83
FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow preview and prediction
The match
FC Orenburg host Spartak Moscow in the Premier League on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 11:45 (WAT) at Gazovik Stadium. FC Orenburg are 10th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Spartak Moscow sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Orenburg's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Makhachkala 0–1 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Spartak Moscow's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Dynamo 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for FC Orenburg and 1.9 for Spartak Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Orenburg 18%, draw 22%, Spartak Moscow 60%.
Safer route: Spartak Moscow or draw (82%) at 1.26.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.69.
Value angle: Spartak Moscow to win at 1.83 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spartak Moscow or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.26, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Orenburg 0–1 Spartak Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Orenburg18%fair 5.54 · @4.20
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.00
Spartak Moscow60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
2.82Expected goals
0.92FC Orenburg xG
1.89Spartak Moscow xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: FC Orenburg 0.9 – 1.9 Spartak Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Moscow to win✓
60%
1.66
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Spartak Moscow or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.69
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.41
Half-time result
Spartak Moscow ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Moscow / FT Spartak Moscow✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.83
–
Form
FC Orenburg – last 6
LWLWWW
13 Mar
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Zenit
2–1
W
4 Mar
@ Krylia Sovetov
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Akron
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Rubin
1–0
W
13 Feb
vs Alashkert
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Spartak Moscow – last 5
WWLWW
18 Mar
vs Dynamo
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Akron
4–3
W
5 Mar
@ Dynamo
2–5
L
2 Mar
@ FC Sochi
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs FC Rostov
5–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Orenburg and Spartak Moscow.
What is the prediction for FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow?
On our numbers FC Orenburg have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spartak Moscow 60%.
How many goals will there be in FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow?
Our predicted score is FC Orenburg 0–1 Spartak Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow?
FC Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time) at Gazovik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
