Value bet: CSKA Moscow to win @ 2.34 – our chance 49% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCSKA Moscow to win ✗49% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.37
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Akhmat vs CSKA Moscow preview and prediction
The match
CSKA Moscow travel to Akhmat-Arena in the Premier League on Sunday 1 March (17:00 WAT) to face Akhmat. Akhmat are 12th with 14 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while CSKA Moscow sit 5th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Akhmat and 1.5 for CSKA Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: CSKA Moscow to win at 2.34 – 49% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Akhmat 1–1 CSKA Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akhmat29%fair 3.43 · @3.28
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.32
CSKA Moscow49%fair 2.06 · @2.34
2.55Expected goals
1.07Akhmat xG
1.48CSKA Moscow xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.1 – 1.5 CSKA Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CSKA Moscow to win✗
49%
2.06
2.34 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.37 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.81
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CSKA Moscow / FT CSKA Moscow✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Akhmat – last 1
D
18 Feb
@ Baltika
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CSKA Moscow – last 1
W
18 Feb
vs FC Rostov
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Akhmat and CSKA Moscow.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Akhmat vs CSKA Moscow?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CSKA Moscow 49%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs CSKA Moscow?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs CSKA Moscow?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 CSKA Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs CSKA Moscow?
Akhmat vs CSKA Moscow (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
