Hartlepool travel to Mazuma Mobile Stadium in the National League on Wednesday 25 March (20:45 WAT) to face Morecambe.
Form guide
Morecambe's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Wealdstone 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 3.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Morecambe and 1.5 for Hartlepool. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Morecambe 1–1 Hartlepool. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morecambe36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.40
Hartlepool41%fair 2.44 · @2.15
2.90Expected goals
1.39Morecambe xG
1.50Hartlepool xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Morecambe 1.4 – 1.5 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✓
41%
2.44
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Morecambe – last 3
WDW
3 Mar
@ Wealdstone
3–2
W
25 Feb
@ Gateshead
4–4
D
21 Feb
vs Eastleigh
4–0
W
3.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hartlepool – last 2
LW
3 Mar
vs Sutton Utd
0–2
L
25 Feb
vs Carlisle
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morecambe and Hartlepool.
What is the prediction for Morecambe vs Hartlepool?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Morecambe vs Hartlepool?
On our numbers Morecambe have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hartlepool 41%.
How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs Hartlepool?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morecambe vs Hartlepool?
Our predicted score is Morecambe 1–1 Hartlepool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Morecambe vs Hartlepool?
Morecambe vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Mazuma Mobile Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rochdale2
Truro City1