Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Boreham Wood to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouthend to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.74
Southend vs Boreham Wood preview and prediction
The match
Boreham Wood travel to Roots Hall in the National League on Tuesday 24 February (20:45 WAT) to face Southend. Southend are 3rd with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Boreham Wood sit 1st on 44 points (top of the table). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.7 for Southend and 1.8 for Boreham Wood. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Value angle: Boreham Wood to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Southend 1–1 Boreham Wood. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southend41%fair 2.44 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.45
Boreham Wood35%fair 2.82 · @3.10
3.46Expected goals
1.67Southend xG
1.79Boreham Wood xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Southend 1.7 – 1.8 Boreham Wood expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Southend
Boreham Wood
Attack vs National League average
+38%
+57%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-21%
Our expected goals here
1.90
2.36
Our own ratings from every National League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✗
41%
2.44
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.75
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boreham Wood / FT Boreham Wood✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.74
–
Form
Southend – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Brackley Town
3–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Boreham Wood – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Truro City
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and Boreham Wood.
What is the prediction for Southend vs Boreham Wood?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Southend vs Boreham Wood?
On our numbers Southend have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Boreham Wood 35%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs Boreham Wood?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southend vs Boreham Wood?
Our predicted score is Southend 1–1 Boreham Wood, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Southend vs Boreham Wood?
Southend vs Boreham Wood (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rochdale2
York3
Brackley Town1