Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouthend to win ✓61% · @1.73
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Aldershot Town vs Southend preview and prediction
The match
Aldershot Town host Southend in the National League on Tuesday 14 April, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at The EBB Stadium at The Recreation Ground. Aldershot Town are 14th with 21 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Southend sit 3rd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Aldershot Town's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Wealdstone 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Southend's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Sutton Utd 3–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Southend arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Aldershot Town and 2.1 for Southend. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aldershot Town 18%, draw 22%, Southend 61%.
Safer route: Southend or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Southend to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Aldershot Town 1–2 Southend. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aldershot Town18%fair 5.70 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.75
Southend61%fair 1.64 · @1.73
3.13Expected goals
1.04Aldershot Town xG
2.09Southend xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–110%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Aldershot Town 1.0 – 2.1 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Southend or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Aldershot Town – last 6
LDLLWW
6 Apr
@ Wealdstone
0–3
L
3 Apr
vs Sutton Utd
2–2
D
24 Mar
vs Boreham Wood
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Carlisle
0–2
L
25 Feb
@ Braintree
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Scunthorpe
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Southend – last 6
WWWDWD
6 Apr
@ Sutton Utd
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Braintree
3–2
W
31 Mar
vs Yeovil Town
2–1
W
25 Mar
vs Woking
1–1
D
17 Mar
vs Rochdale
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Gateshead
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aldershot Town and Southend.
What is the prediction for Aldershot Town vs Southend?
Our pick is Southend to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Aldershot Town vs Southend?
On our numbers Aldershot Town have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Southend 61%.
How many goals will there be in Aldershot Town vs Southend?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aldershot Town vs Southend?
Our predicted score is Aldershot Town 1–2 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Aldershot Town vs Southend?
Aldershot Town vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The EBB Stadium at The Recreation Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
