The National League sees Southend take on Gateshead on Tuesday 10 March, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Roots Hall. Southend are 3rd with 29 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Gateshead sit 24th on 4 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Southend's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Truro City 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Gateshead's last 3: WDW Most recently they beat Braintree 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Gateshead arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.5 for Southend and 0.8 for Gateshead. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Southend to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Southend 2–0 Gateshead. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Southend72%fair 1.39 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @5.00
Gateshead8%fair 12.17 · @6.75
3.29Expected goals
2.48Southend xG
0.81Gateshead xG
61%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
3–09%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Southend 2.5 – 0.8 Gateshead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Double chance
Southend or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✗
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.77
–
Form
Southend – last 3
DLW
3 Mar
vs Truro City
1–1
D
24 Feb
vs Boreham Wood
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Brackley Town
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gateshead – last 3
WDW
4 Mar
vs Braintree
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Morecambe
4–4
D
17 Feb
@ FC Halifax Town
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and Gateshead.
Our pick is Southend to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Southend vs Gateshead?
On our numbers Southend have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gateshead 8%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs Gateshead?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southend vs Gateshead?
Our predicted score is Southend 2–0 Gateshead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Southend vs Gateshead?
Southend vs Gateshead (National League) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.