Katwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam II preview and prediction
The match
The Tweede Divisie sees Katwijk take on Sparta Rotterdam II on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Sportpark De Krom. Katwijk are 12th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Sparta Rotterdam II sit 10th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.5 for Katwijk and 1.2 for Sparta Rotterdam II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Katwijk 69%, draw 12%, Sparta Rotterdam II 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.29.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Katwijk to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Katwijk 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Katwijk69%fair 1.46 · @1.53
Draw12%fair 8.67 · @4.33
Sparta Rotterdam II20%fair 5.04 · @4.20
3.77Expected goals
2.54Katwijk xG
1.23Sparta Rotterdam II xG
70%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Katwijk 2.5 – 1.2 Sparta Rotterdam II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Katwijk to win✓
69%
1.46
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.42
1.29
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Katwijk ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Katwijk / FT Katwijk✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Form
Katwijk – last 2
LL
4 Apr
@ Hoek
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Quick Boys
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sparta Rotterdam II – last 1
L
21 Feb
vs Excelsior Maassluis
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Katwijk and Sparta Rotterdam II.
What is the prediction for Katwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
Our pick is Katwijk to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Katwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
On our numbers Katwijk have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Sparta Rotterdam II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Katwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Katwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
Our predicted score is Katwijk 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Katwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam II?
Katwijk vs Sparta Rotterdam II (Tweede Divisie) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Krom.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Excelsior Maassluis2
ACV4