Value bet: Erzurumspor FK to win @ 1.77 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultErzurumspor FK to win ✗60% · @1.77
Double chanceErzurumspor FK or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor preview and prediction
The match
Bandırmaspor travel to Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu in the 1. Lig on Sunday 26 April (14:00 WAT) to face Erzurumspor FK.
Form guide
Erzurumspor FK's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Bodrum FK 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bandırmaspor's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Amed 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Erzurumspor FK and 0.8 for Bandırmaspor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Erzurumspor FK 60%, draw 25%, Bandırmaspor 15%.
Safer route: Erzurumspor FK or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Erzurumspor FK to win at 1.77 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Bandırmaspor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Erzurumspor FK60%fair 1.66 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.40
Bandırmaspor15%fair 6.85 · @4.10
2.51Expected goals
1.76Erzurumspor FK xG
0.75Bandırmaspor xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Erzurumspor FK 1.8 – 0.8 Bandırmaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erzurumspor FK to win✗
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Erzurumspor FK or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Erzurumspor FK ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erzurumspor FK / FT Erzurumspor FK✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Erzurumspor FK – last 6
DWWWWL
19 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Boluspor
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ İstanbulspor
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Esenler Erokspor
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Hatayspor
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ Ümraniyespor
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bandırmaspor – last 6
WDWDDD
19 Apr
vs Amed
2–0
W
7 Apr
vs Sarıyer
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Çorum FK
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Boluspor
0–0
D
16 Mar
vs Iğdır FK
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Esenler Erokspor
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Erzurumspor FK and Bandırmaspor.
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?
On our numbers Erzurumspor FK have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bandırmaspor 15%.
How many goals will there be in Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?
Our predicted score is Erzurumspor FK 1–0 Bandırmaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor?
Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amed1
Sakaryaspor0
Çorum FK4