The 1. Lig sees Ümraniyespor take on Vanspor FK on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Spoi?nt I?nsaat Ümrani?yespor Stadyumu. Ümraniyespor are 12th with 17 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Vanspor FK sit 14th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ümraniyespor's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Amed 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Vanspor FK's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Manisa F.K. 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ümraniyespor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Ümraniyespor and 1.2 for Vanspor FK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ümraniyespor 45%, draw 21%, Vanspor FK 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ümraniyespor 1–1 Vanspor FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ümraniyespor45%fair 2.21 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
Vanspor FK34%fair 2.93 · @2.80
2.63Expected goals
1.44Ümraniyespor xG
1.20Vanspor FK xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ümraniyespor 1.4 – 1.2 Vanspor FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ümraniyespor to win✗
45%
2.21
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ümraniyespor / FT Ümraniyespor✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.68
–
Form
Ümraniyespor – last 6
DWLLWW
13 Apr
@ Amed
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Sakaryaspor
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Bodrum FK
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Sivasspor
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Erzurumspor FK
3–1
W
6 Mar
@ Sarıyer
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vanspor FK – last 6
LWLDLW
12 Apr
vs Manisa F.K.
0–1
L
8 Apr
@ Serik Spor
6–1
W
4 Apr
@ Keçiörengücü
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Sarıyer
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Sakaryaspor
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Adana Demirspor
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ümraniyespor and Vanspor FK.
What is the prediction for Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
On our numbers Ümraniyespor have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vanspor FK 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
Our predicted score is Ümraniyespor 1–1 Vanspor FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK?
Ümraniyespor vs Vanspor FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Spoi?nt I?nsaat Ümrani?yespor Stadyumu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Amed0
Erzurumspor FK1
Adana Demirspor0
Çorum FK3
Serik Spor0