Vanspor FK host Manisa F.K. in the 1. Lig on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at Ataturk City Stadium. Vanspor FK are 14th with 16 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Manisa F.K. sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vanspor FK's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Serik Spor 6–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Manisa F.K.'s last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Pendikspor 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Vanspor FK and 0.9 for Manisa F.K.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vanspor FK 62%, draw 25%, Manisa F.K. 13%.
Safer route: Vanspor FK or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Vanspor FK 2–0 Manisa F.K.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vanspor FK62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.60
Manisa F.K.13%fair 7.60 · @4.20
2.87Expected goals
2.01Vanspor FK xG
0.86Manisa F.K. xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Vanspor FK 2.0 – 0.9 Manisa F.K. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vanspor FK to win✗
62%
1.62
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Vanspor FK or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.45
Half-time result
Vanspor FK ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vanspor FK / FT Vanspor FK✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.77
–
Form
Vanspor FK – last 6
WLDLWD
8 Apr
@ Serik Spor
6–1
W
4 Apr
@ Keçiörengücü
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Sarıyer
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Sakaryaspor
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Adana Demirspor
1–0
W
6 Mar
@ Pendikspor
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Manisa F.K. – last 6
WLLWLL
7 Apr
vs Pendikspor
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Adana Demirspor
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Amed
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Sarıyer
3–0
W
7 Mar
@ Erzurumspor FK
1–8
L
2 Mar
vs Çorum FK
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vanspor FK and Manisa F.K..
What is the prediction for Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
On our numbers Vanspor FK have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Manisa F.K. 13%.
How many goals will there be in Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
Our predicted score is Vanspor FK 2–0 Manisa F.K., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K.?
Vanspor FK vs Manisa F.K. (1. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Ataturk City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Adana Demirspor1
Serik Spor